Showing posts with label statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label statistics. Show all posts

5/16/2015

Why The Illegal NSA Data Collection Doesn't Actually Worry Me

I'm sure you've heard by now all about the illegal spying and data collection by the NSA.  A lot of people seem very concerned that their privacy has been violated and worried about being harassed, exposed, etc.

Here's why it's not a big concern of mine:
Yes, our information is being illegally mined, collected and stored somewhere for the NSA to access whenever they want.  Yes, as a matter of principal such illegal data mining should be halted and those responsible for breaking the law prosecuted.

However, with so much information to deal with how likely is it they're going to notice any specific one of us in the clutter?  Statistically, you probably have a better chance of randomly pointing to a spot in the picture and having your finger land on Waldo than the NSA actually taking enough interest in you to bother accessing any of their stored data about you specifically.  Personally, I'm not going to be losing sleep over my name being in some insurmountably massive NSA database where it's likely no human will ever lay eyes on it, even if it is an illegal invasion of my privacy.

10/18/2014

"That other place has cheaper gas..."

I'm really sick of hearing this pointless monologue.  If you are too, here's some simple figures you can toss out the next time somebody goes off on a rant about "which place has cheaper gas."

Let's be generous and assume your car gets 20 MPG driving in the city.

Let's also assume a median estimate of 10 gallons you're putting in your tank.

And gas right now is around $3 per gallon, where different stations around town likely have about 5¢ total difference in price.  For the benefit of the doubt, we'll assume the highest price is the one closest to you.



Now, if you shop around and find the absolute lowest price in town, the difference in price will be a total of 50¢.

If you drive even just 2 miles out of your way to get there, you're already losing money just at the pump alone. Round trip = 4 miles, 4 miles being 1/5 of 20 miles, 1/5 of $3 is 60¢, 60¢ subtracted from 50¢ = -10¢.  For every mile out of your way beyond that, subtract another 30¢. (3 miles = -40¢, 4 miles = -70¢, 5 miles = -$1, etc.)

In addition, let's assume you make a menial wage of $9 per hour.

If you figure in time as well (for example if you have to clock out of work while doing this) you could easily spend 10 to 15 minutes driving that 2 miles out of your way to get gas, losing another $1.50 to $2.25.

So in total, you're looking at between $1.60 to $2.35 (or the equivalent of more than half a gallon of gas) that you're losing by seeking out a lower price, even with very conservative estimates.



When you go to put gasoline in your car, quit annoying people by incessantly nit-picking about where it's a little cheaper and just fill up at the closest place.  In the end, you're actually saving money by not worrying about it.

5/18/2014

Africa Prediction: Female Genital Mutilation Increased as AIDS Prevention

No, I'm not advocating any type of genital mutilation.
If you clicked on the title to rip me a new one for being such a horrible person, too bad. I hate the idea just as much as you do. I'm simply predicting that it will happen.
With that disclaimer out of the way, let's get to the actual content.

How can I make such a prediction?
How can the two possibly be linked?
How can that even be possible?
Why do I suspect that's where things are headed?

I'll tell you, but first, let me tell you when it started.

Now.
Well, not exactly, but we'll get to that in a bit. However, let me tell you why now is important.

As you may have heard, three groundbreaking studies have recently concluded that circumcision of males prevents HIV transmission. This seems like great news, because a simple snip of the foreskin will make a huge dent in the epidemic, right?

Wrong.

What you may not have heard is that all three of those studies were designed by known male circumcision advocates - and later manipulated, specifically to conclude that circumcision was the answer, in contradiction to the actual data. Here's how:
  • In all three studies, the circumcised group had to abstain from sexual activity for a period of time, while the uncircumcised group were free to maintain normal sexual activity. Obviously, the circumcised group contracted fewer cases of HIV, because they were not having sex. Abstinence was the only relevant variable at that point.
  • In all three studies, when the circumcised group started sexual activity again, they actually started catching up in number of HIV infections to the uncircumcised group, demonstrating that if anything, they may have been contracting the infection more readily than the uncircumcised group. This does not at all suggest circumcision is an effective preventative measure.
  • All three studies were terminated early, before the numbers could equalize, even though in one of the three studies the circumcised group had come close to matching the number of infections as the uncircumcised group. This demonstrates that when things didn't go the way they were hoping, the circumcision advocates running these three studies decided it was best to cut them short, before the results could prove the theory wrong. They then announced their findings to the world and the "Circumcise Africa!" campaign was born.
Pretty sneaky, huh?

How does this relate to Female Genital Mutilation?
Hold on, I'm getting there. First, let me tell you what I think will happen next and where it came from.

Next, they will start routinely circumcising infant boys.

It is reasonable to assume that male circumcision will progress in Africa in a similar manner to the way it did in the USA - That is, it started as a way to "protect" certain people at risk for diseases - in the USA it was "masturbation, infection, venerial disease, cancer, blindness, insanity, death..." and a whole huge list of other afflictions the foreskin was blamed for causing. The issue actually started a long time ago in the USA. It then became a "preventative" measure which was routinely performed on infants, because it was promoted as "harmless and even beneficial." "Harmless and beneficial? Why not just get them right out of the womb to make it easier?" I suspect this is the next stage in the progression of genital mutilation in Africa.

But, you still haven't told me how this relates to FEMALE Genital Mutilation!
OK, now I'll tell you.
The answer is, The Stallings Study.

That's right. There was a study, claiming that female circumcision decreased the chances of contracting HIV. It exists. It happened. It is out there, waiting for concerned (or motivated) Africans to find and interpret however they want to.
Results
The crude relative risk of HIV infection among women reporting to have been circumcised versus not circumcised was 0.51 [95% CL =0.38
In fact, this study makes the specific assertion that female genital mutilation, not male is the main statistical difference in relative risk:
Both circ vs male only = 0.56 Relative Risk Estimate
Both circ vs neither = 0.55 Relative Risk Estimate
Male circ vs neither = 0.97 Relative Risk Estimate
But how could that be?
It's actually very simple. It's probably true. It's probably true for the same reason those three "groundbreaking" male circumcision studies found an initial difference between the two groups: decreased sexual activity. When a woman receives little or no pleasure (possibly even intense pain, depending on the specific procedure) from sexual activity, she is less likely to participate in sexual activity, therefore lowering her risk of contracting HIV. The question is, do you think the Africans who heard "male circumcision prevents AIDS" and didn't bother to question why will be more concerned with the reason why female circumcision has been shown to have the same effect, or do you think "female circumcision prevents AIDS" will be enough once again?

But they'd never go THAT far, would they?
They already do. Female Genital Mutilation is happening in Africa right now. On top of that, "more advanced" cultures have now told them that cutting off parts of genitals is not only the answer to the AIDS epidemic, but is even a good thing for the person's general health. "Civilized" people advocating circumcision + lower risk of HIV for circumcised females? At some point, somebody is going to add 2 + 2 and get 4. When that happens, a whole new wave of "preventative" Female Genital Mutilation will begin. Last I heard, women contracting HIV from rape and then infecting other men was considered a major cause in the spread of the disease, so why wouldn't they try to do everything they possibly could to prevent women from contracting it? Remember, these are also the people who are advocating putting all homosexuals to death. Do you really think they're going to stop short of female children in the effort to solve the epidemic, when they already cut the genitals of female children, or do you think they'll just do it more?

What if we just hide that study?
Even without that one particular study, how long do you think it will take for the people who advocate Female Genital Mutilation to find other studies, or pick up on the statistics and start doing studies themselves? Hell, even without medical justification, people are already doing it, so why wouldn't the advocates decide to do the same kind of shifty study that was done to promote male genital mutilation? The notable thing is, this may even encourage them to suggest the less invasive forms be intensified to increase the "benefit" of the procedure. Women who would have otherwise only been subjected to the lesser forms of genital cutting may instead be subjected to the forms which are designed to make any sexual activity as unpleasant as possible.

Who's to blame for this? What can be done to stop it?

Who's to blame?

You are.

Every person who has not stood up for a child's right to genital integrity, whatever form they may be in, has contributed to the idea that it is acceptable to mutilate children.

Every person who has participated in the "circumcision" of infants, whether they be a medical professional or not, has perpetuated the tradition of mutilation.

Every mother or father who did not protect their child from being cut when they were able has let that child become yet another victim, instead of an example.

Every person who has said Male Genital Mutilation is "not the same thing" has contributed to the environment which lets people not only condone, but advocate genital mutilation in Africa.

Every male who is angry about having his basic human rights violated and yet refuses to speak out is contributing to the silence which allows ignorance.

And every person who has been witness to somebody claiming genital mutilation in any form is a human rights violation and still couldn't be bothered to read an article and pass on a link to somebody else is guilty of maintaining that ignorance.

What can be done?
People need to be taught that proper hygiene, safe sex practices and medicine are preferable and more effective methods of controlling disease than genital mutilation. We need to start advocating the benefit of condoms and safe sex education, the dangers of rape (even for the perpetrator) and the sanctity of genital integrity for everybody.

Sadly, I think the seed has been planted already in Africa and the idea of cutting genitals to prevent AIDS will invariably result in the mutilation of more children, both boys and girls, than would otherwise be subjected to such abuse. In my opinion, the only way to convince the people in Africa that genital mutilation is wrong, is if the rest of us "civilized" societies can agree that ALL genital mutilation is wrong, be they female, male, or intersexed genitals. Every child must be protected from non-therapeutic genital surgery before any child can truly be safe. Then, when we tell Africa we were wrong to suggest it in the first place and plead for them to stop mutilating their own children, they won't simply look at us and say "Why shouldn't we, when you still do?"

Originally written 12-27-2011

5/06/2014

How important is redundancy in rigging?

http://www.boston.com/news/local/rhode-island/2014/05/04/report-aerial-performers-fall-during-circus-act-providence/jONRVASHacmTEy106u394M/story.html
"It has been determined that a carabiner in the rigging failed"
The carabiner used in the stunt is rated to hold 10,000 pounds, the statement said, while the total weight of the rigging and performers was less than 1,500 pounds.
The carabiner was the lone piece of equipment between the apparatus and a cable tethering the performers to the rafters.

This is a good excuse to post a rant I wrote a while ago.

How important is redundancy in rigging?

That depends on what level of risk you're willing to accept. Would you be comfortable with a hypothetical piece of equipment with a 1/1,000,000 chance of failure? If so, that's fine. However, you'd better be damn sure that 1/1,000,000 is accurate and not actually 1/500,000 or even 1/1,000. You'd also better be ready to take full responsibility if you underestimate the risk and end up dropping somebody due to equipment failure.

Is 1/1,000,000 not enough for comfort? A lot of people think doubling equipment doubles the statistical safety margin. Well, I have some good news and bad news for you. The bad news is that doubling equipment doesn't double the safety margin. The good news is that it increases it exponentially.

Let's look at it mathematically.
A 50% failure rate (1/2) with a redundancy can be plotted out to determine the statistical probability that both pieces of equipment will fail at the same time:
  • pass/pass
  • pass/fail
  • fail/pass
  • fail/fail
That works out to be 1/2² or 1/4 chance of complete failure. Similarly, a 1/3 chance of failure with a redundancy can be plotted and the statistical redundancy benefit determined:
  • pass1/pass1
  • pass1/pass2
  • pass1/fail
  • pass2/pass1
  • pass2/pass2
  • pass2/fail
  • fail/pass1
  • fail/pass2
  • fail/fail
That works out to be 1/3² or 1/9 chance of complete failure.

Having demonstrated how redundancy in equipment yields an exponential statistical safety benefit, we can calculate for more robust equipment as well:
  • 1/4² = 1/16
  • 1/6² = 1/36
  • 1/8² = 1/64
  • 1/10² = 1/100
  • 1/100² = 1/10,000
and finally,
  • 1/1,000,000² = 1/1,000,000,000,000
which, if you can hit odds like that, you can simply pay for any medical bills with your lottery winnings. Even if you're wrong about that original 1/1,000,000 chance,
  • 1/500,000² = 1/250,000,000,000
and
  • 1/1,000² = 1/1,000,000
so you're still not exactly tempting fate.

The reason for redundancy isn't necessarily that the risk of equipment failure is unreasonably high, but that it's so easy to reduce the risk of equipment failure so much.

So, how important is redundancy in rigging? You be the judge. Just be ready, whatever you decide, to take responsibility in the unlikely event something breaks and you find the person you're suspending on the floor, instead of in the air where they belong.

4/22/2014

Alison Tieman misrepresents NISVS definitions

In the debut Honey Badger Hangout, Alison Tieman (a.k.a. Typhon Blue) said this:
"Made to Penetrate is actually...apparently more tightly onto what we would consider rape than Rape is.  In other words, it really didn't include situations where men were drunk, because the wording was so ambiguous that it most likely excluded those situations with Made to Penetrate.  The wording about trying to capture sex while drunk was ambiguous and it did not appear to include men who were forced to penetrate while drunk."
"So in other words, the Made To Penetrate stat, if anything, is actually closer to our idea of forced sex than the Rape stat is."
Linkage: http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_detailpage&v=cf6SKsxUkQg#t=5355

Now, if you've read my post about Is "Gendered" Crime Really Gendered? you will notice a link to the NISVS study there as well as a truncated version of the definitions for "rape" and for "made to penetrate."  I'll include the full primary descriptions here, so you may see how "different" they really are.

  • Rape is defined as any completed or attempted unwanted vaginal (for women), oral, or anal penetration through the use of physical force (such as being pinned or held down, or by the use of violence) or threats to physically harm and includes times when the victim was drunk, high, drugged, or passed out and unable to consent.
  • Being made to penetrate someone else includes times when the victim was made to, or there was an attempt to make them, sexually penetrate someone without the victim's consent because the victim was physically forced (such as being pinned or held down, or by the use of violence) or threatened with physical harm, or when the victim was drunk, high, drugged, or passed out and unable to consent.

Maybe I'm just not seeing it correctly, but those seem to be basically the same description other than describing either being penetrated, or being made to penetrate.

Assuming I am seeing it correctly, the main difference if both were considered equal violations is actually going to be in the area of oral sex.  The description for Rape does include being forced to perform fellatio, but does not necessarily include being forced to perform or receive cunnilingus.  Made to Penetrate would intuitively include (although not explicitly defined) being forced to receive fellatio, but does not necessarily include being forced to perform or receive cunnilingus.  Either could include forced performing or receiving cunnilingus, but unlike fellatio, cunnilingus including penetration is not generally a given.

The real question is, is that minor gender-unequal consideration potentially responsible for the 3,000 victim difference between the two in the general 12 Month statistics?

When we're talking total numbers in excess of 1 million and considering that somebody committing sexual assault is going to be inherently more concerned about their own pleasure than the other person's, I'd personally tend to think it's likely enough to call it about even if you added forced cunnilingus to those numbers.




The other thing that's been bothering me, is considering all the attention being given to these particular statistics, no MRAs seem to have yet noticed and pointed out that especially when it comes to Intimate Partner Violence and the more general sexual assault classifications, like "Unwanted Sexual Contact" (especially Unwanted Sexual Contact within relationships) the percentages for male victims are actually higher than the percentages for female victims.

http://www.cdc.gov/ViolencePrevention/pdf/NISVS_Report2010-a.pdf
Table 2.1 (Page 18)
12 month prevalence of Sexual Violence - Women:
Unwanted Sexual Contact:         2.2%        2,600,000 victims

Table 2.2 (Page 19)
12 month prevalence of Sexual Violence - Men: 
Unwanted Sexual Contact:         2.3%        2,565,000 victims

Table 4.1 (Page 38)
12 month prevalence of IPV Physical Violence - Women: 
Physical Violence:                     4.0%        4,741,000 victims

Table 4.2 (Page 38)
12 month prevalence of IPV Physical Violence - Men: 
Physical Violence:                     4.7%        5,365,000 victims

Table 4.5 (page 42)
12 month prevalence of IPV Sexual Violence - Women
Unwanted Sexual Contact:         0.5%        645,000 victims

Table 4.6 (page 43)
12 month prevalence of IPV Sexual Violence - Men
Unwanted Sexual Contact:         0.9%        1,031,000 victims

If you wanted to poke holes in the idea that "sexual assault and domestic violence are crimes primarily against women" there's not a much better way than to point out the fact that the study claims a higher percentage of male victims per year for both types of crime, is there?  Seems to me that should be step #1.

11/23/2013

Is "Gendered" Crime Really Gendered?

You hear it repeated on the news, in public service announcements, in "social justice" slogans and literature, even from random friends and aquaintances in your daily life.

"Sexual assault and domestic violence are male crimes against women."

Some people will admit when pressed that there are "a few cases" where the reverse is true, "but those are rare" right?




http://www.cdc.gov/ViolencePrevention/pdf/NISVS_Report2010-a.pdf
Table 2.1 (Page 18)
12 month prevalence of Sexual Violence - Women:
Rape:                                       1.1%        1,270,000 victims
Made to penetrate:                   not listed
Unwanted Sexual Contact:         2.2%        2,600,000 victims

Table 2.2 (Page 19)
12 month prevalence of Sexual Violence - Men: 
Rape:                                       not listed
Made to penetrate:                   1.1%        1,267,000 victims
Unwanted Sexual Contact:         2.3%        2,565,000 victims

Table 4.1 (Page 38)
12 month prevalence of IPV Physical Violence - Women: 
Physical Violence:                     4.0%        4,741,000 victims

Table 4.2 (Page 38)
12 month prevalence of IPV Physical Violence - Men: 
Physical Violence:                     4.7%        5,365,000 victims

Table 4.5 (page 42)
12 month prevalence of IPV Sexual Violence - Women

Rape:                                       0.6%        686,000 victims
Made to penetrate:                   not listed
Unwanted Sexual Contact:         0.5%
       645,000 victims

Table 4.6 (page 43)

12 month prevalence of IPV Sexual Violence - Men
Rape:                                       not listed
Made to penetrate:                   0.5%
       586,000 victims
Unwanted Sexual Contact:         0.9%
       1,031,000 victims

Summary (Page 39)
More than 1 in 4 men in the United States (28.5%) has experienced rape, physical violence and/or stalking by an intimate partner at some point in their lifetime.


http://link.springer.com/article/10.1023%2FA%3A1022456626538
In Study 1, 25.1% of respondents reported at least one incident of nonconsensual sex with a woman and 23.9% reported attempts by women to make them engage in nonconsensual sexual activity. In Study 2, the overall prevalence rate for completed nonconsensual sexual interactions was 30.1%, and 23.5% of the men reported attempts at making them engage in nonconsensual sex.


Anderson (1998)
36.5% of respondents reported having gotten a man intoxicated to make him engage in sexual acts. Threat of force was reported by 27.8%, use of force by 20%, and threatening a man with a weapon by 8.9% of the female participants.
(sorry, I can't seem to find a convenient link for that one at the moment...anybody care to help out?)


http://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/svjfry09.pdf
Sexual Victimization In Juvenile Facilities Reported By Youth, 2008-2009
Approximately 95% of all youth reporting staff sexual misconduct said they had been victimized by female staff. In 2008, 42% of staff in state juvenile facilities were female.

10.8% of males and 4.7% of females reported sexual activity with facility staff.


http://www.curvemag.com/Curve-Magazine/Web-Articles-2010/Lesbian-on-Lesbian-Rape/
Because many people define rape at penetration by a penis, woman-to-woman rape is not acknowledged or taken seriously. But in fact, it is estimated that one out of three lesbians have been sexually assaulted by another woman.


http://archive.acf.hhs.gov/programs/cb/pubs/cm06/cm06.pdf 
Child Maltreatment 2006 (Page 75)
For  FFY 2006, 57.9 percent of the perpetrators were women and 42.1 percent were men.


http://www.acf.hhs.gov/sites/default/files/cb/cm11.pdf 
Child Maltreatment 2011 (Page 68)
More than one-half (53.6%) of perpetrators were women and 45.1 percent of perpetrators were men.


https://1in6.org/the-1-in-6-statistic/
Researchers have found that 1 in 6 men have experienced abusive sexual experiences before age 18. And this is probably a low estimate, since it doesn’t include noncontact experiences, which can also have lasting negative effects.


http://www.statcan.gc.ca/daily-quotidien/110127/dq110127a-eng.htm
A similar proportion of men and women reported experiencing spousal violence during the five years prior to the survey. Among men, 6.0% or about 585,000, encountered spousal violence during this period, compared with 6.4% or 601,000 women.


http://www.csulb.edu/~mfiebert/assault.htm 
SUMMARY:  This bibliography examines 286 scholarly investigations: 221 empirical studies and 65 reviews and/or analyses, which demonstrate that women are as physically aggressive, or more aggressive, than men in their relationships with their spouses or male partners.  The aggregate sample size in the reviewed studies exceeds 371,600. 


http://www.prweb.com/releases/2013/5/prweb10741752.htm 
The most comprehensive review of the scholarly domestic violence research literature ever conducted concludes, among other things, that women perpetrate physical and emotional abuse, and engage in control behaviors, at comparable rates to men. 


http://www.cosmopolitan.com/celebrity/news/emma-roberts-evan-peters-abuse 
According to a study done in 2000, the statistics of domestic abuse in America were 1.3 million women versus 835,000 men. A more recent study from 2011 ups the percentage: One in four men have experienced "rape, physical violence and/or stalking" by a partner, and one in seven have experienced "severe physical violence," like beaten with a fist or a blunt object. And a 32-nation study by the University of New Hampshire claims that girlfriends initiate violence equally often as boyfriends do in relationships.


http://ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/abs/10.2105/AJPH.2005.079020
Results. Almost 24% of all relationships had some violence, and half (49.7%) of those were reciprocally violent. In nonreciprocally violent relationships, women were the perpetrators in more than 70% of the cases.


http://psychnews.psychiatryonline.org/newsarticle.aspx?articleid=111137
Regarding perpetration of violence, more women than men (25 percent versus 11 percent) were responsible. In fact, 71 percent of the instigators in nonreciprocal partner violence were women.


http://news.ufl.edu/archive/2006/07/women-more-likely-to-be-perpetrators-of-abuse-as-well-as-victims.html
In a survey of 2,500 students at UF and the University of South Carolina between August and December 2005, more than a quarter (29 percent) reported physically assaulting their dates and 22 percent reported being the victims of attacks during the past year. Thirty-two percent of women reported being the perpetrators of this violence, compared with 24 percent of men.

In a separate survey of 1,490 UF students, one quarter (25 percent) said they had been stalked during the past year and 7 percent reported engaging in stalking, of whom a majority (58 percent) were female.

The study also was among the first to look at psychological abuse. Examples included preventing partners from seeing family or friends, shouting at them and using threats to have sex. Fifty-four percent of respondents reported being psychologically abusive, and 52 percent said they were victims of this type of behavior. Women were more likely to be psychologically abusive, with 57 percent saying they were perpetrators versus 50 percent of males.


http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/06/070625111433.htm
...it showed that nearly twice as many women as men said they perpetrated domestic violence in the past year including kicking, biting or punching their partner, threatening to hit or throw something at their partner, and pushing, grabbing or shoving their partner.


http://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2078&context=news
Men are More Likely Than Women to Be Victims in Dating Violence

...most incidents of partner violence involve violence by both the man and woman...
The second largest category was couples where the female partner was the only one to carry about physical attacks, not the male partner.

These results call into question the widely held belief that partner violence is primarily a male crime and that when women are violent it is self defense.

...overwhelming evidence that women assault their partners at about the same rate as men.
http://pubpages.unh.edu/~mas2/ID41E2.pdf


http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1553-2712.1999.tb01207.x/pdf 
Of 866 male patients interviewed, 109 (12.6%) had been the victims of domestic violence committed by a female intimate partner within the preceding year.

...choking, kicking, biting, and punching (48.6%), or throwing an object at the victim (46.8%).


Thirty-seven percent of cases involved a weapon. Seven perent of victims described being forced to have sex.


http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10896-006-9052-0








http://time.com/37337/nearly-half-of-young-men-say-theyve-had-unwanted-sex/

Nearly Half of Young Men Say They’ve Had ‘Unwanted’ Sex

18% of surveyed guys say women used physical force to make them have sex against their will

43% of high school and college-aged men say they’ve had “unwanted sexual contact,” and 95% of those say a female acquaintance was the aggressor 

"This is not to deny the gendered impact of sexual violence..."



Are we starting to see a pattern here? 

See, the real reason you don't hear about men being raped or beaten, is not because these crimes are gendered, but because the interest in these crimes is gendered.  When it's a woman being victimized by a man, people care.  When it's the reverse, they don't.













http://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/frequently-asked-questions/ucr_faqs 
For UCR reporting purposes, can a male be raped?
No. The UCR Program defines forcible rape as “The carnal knowledge of a female forcibly and against her will” (p. 19). In addition, “By definition, sexual attacks on males are excluded from the rape category and must be classified as assaults or other sex offenses depending on the nature of the crime and the extent of injury” (p. 20).

(in other words, man forcing sexual intercourse on a woman = "rape" while woman forcing sexual intercourse on a man = "assaults or other sex offenses")

That definition was updated in 2012:
http://blogs.justice.gov/main/archives/1801
The penetration, no matter how slight, of the vagina or anus with any body part or object, or oral penetration by a sex organ of another person, without the consent of the victim.
(in other words, man forcing sexual intercourse on a woman = "rape" while woman forcing sexual intercourse on a man = "assaults or other sex offenses")


https://dl.dropbox.com/s/nfqxs9cxu524gk2/Koss%20-%2…
P. 206-207: Although consideration of male victims is within the scope of the legal statutes, it is important to restrict the term rape to instances where male victims were penetrated by offenders. It is inappropriate to consider as a rape victim a man who engages in unwanted sexual intercourse with a woman.
(in other words, man forcing sexual intercourse on a woman = "rape" while woman forcing sexual intercourse on a man = "not rape")


And going back to that CDC survey:
http://www.cdc.gov/ViolencePrevention/pdf/NISVS_Report2010-a.pdf
How NISVS Measured Sexual Violence
Five types of sexual violence were measured in NISVS. These include acts of rape (forced penetration), and types of sexual violence other than rape.


  • Rape is defined as any completed or attempted unwanted vaginal (for women), oral, or anal penetration through the use of physical force...or threats to physically harm...
  • Being made to penetrate someone else includes times when the victim was made to, or there was an attempt to make them, sexually penetratesomeone without the victim's consent because the victim was physically forced...or threatened with physical harm...
(in other words, man forcing sexual intercourse on a woman = "rape" while woman forcing sexual intercourse on a man = "other sexual violence")


http://www.thelancet.com/journals/langlo/article/PIIS2214-109X(13)70069-X/fulltext 
Introduction 
Rape, which is defined as physically forced or otherwise coerced penetration of the vulva or anus,1 violates victims' human rights and causes enduring health problems.1 Victims are often wives or girlfriends, but can also be men
(in other words, man forcing sexual intercourse on a woman = "rape" while woman forcing sexual intercourse on a man = "not rape" - of course, they didn't even bother to ask about female perpetration in that study, so maybe it's not as relevant?)


http://www.jpost.com/Israel/Womens-groups-Cancel-law-charging-women-with-rape
Until now, the law has only defined rape as an act perpetrated against a woman. Although another paragraph of the Article on sex offenses appears to indicate that the offenses could be applied to women as well as men, it has not been used against women.
(in other words, man forcing sexual intercourse on a woman = "rape" while woman forcing sexual intercourse on a man = "not rape")


http://www.saveservices.org/pdf/SAVE-Predominant_Aggressor.pdf
Back-Door Approach to Gender Profiling
Over 250 scholarly studies reveal that men and women are equally likely to initiate severe partner aggression.  In other words, about 50% of domestic violence perpetrators are female.  In contrast, over three-quarters--77%--of domestic violence arrestees are male.  The discrepancy between 50% and 77% is suggestive of bias in the enforcement of our nation's laws.



http://jezebel.com/294383/have-you-ever-beat-up-a-boyfriend-cause-uh-we-have 
With Amy Winehouse busting open a can of whupass on her husband last week, we decided to conduct an informal survey of the Jezebels to see who's gotten violent with their men. After reviewing the answers, let's just say that it'd be wise to never ever fuck with us.


http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/11/men-women-prison-sentence-length-gender-gap_n_1874742.html 
The study found that men receive sentences that are 63 percent higher, on average, than their female counterparts.
Starr also found that females arrested for a crime are also significantly more likely to avoid charges and convictions entirely, and twice as likely to avoid incarceration if convicted.


http://pubpages.unh.edu/~mas2/V74-gender-symmetry-with-gramham-Kevan-Method%208-.pdf


http://www.fathersandfamilies.org/2009/07/06/researcher-what-happens-when-abused-men-call-domestic-violence-hotlines-and-shelters/ 
Of the abused men who called domestic violence hotlines, 64% were told that they “only helped women.” In 32% of the cases, the abused men were referred to batterers’ programs. Another 25% were given a phone number to call that turned out to be a batterers’ program.


http://www.theguardian.com/society/2011/jul/17/the-rape-of-men



End violence against...women?  A battered child is...the perpetrator?




So, is "gendered" crime really gendered?

Nope.

The response to it sure is, though.

7/06/2013

White/Male Privilege™

The Knapsack Isn't Invisible, But Imaginary.


One of the most common "social justice" byproducts I see these days is the popularization and even glorification of the idea of a universal White/Male Privilege™  In fact, it's such a commonly promoted idea that it has even permeated the general culture.  It seems any time anybody is discussing gender issues of any kind, either the entire phrase, or sometimes just the word "privilege" is flung at the person not being belligerent in favor of women.  I would say "women and people of color" except that despite the fervent insistence about "equal rights for women and people of color, etc. etc." I don't see the popculture "social justice" narrative actually fighting for people of color (or any of the etc.) unless they're women who just happen to coincidentally be of color.  Let's face it, "color" is a token demographic in the popculture "social justice" narrative, used to boost support and provide a convenient increase in "victimhood" for the cause, but ultimately ignored until it's time to trot them out and shame some "white male" into submission.

Of course, one could say, "well, white males as a demographic do tend to have things better than other demographics, don't they?"  And my answer would be, yes - if you look at the statistics, whites and males do tend to be better off than other demographics in some ways.  However, not only do the facts show the opposite of what this White/Male Privilege™ claim suggests in some cases, but even when the aggregate is truthfully represented in favor of whites or males, it is being applied not as a statistical concept, but as an absolute, even toward individuals.

Now, if somebody wants to argue statistics and such, they can go right ahead and argue with somebody else who's interested in doing so.  I'm not much concerned with trying to quantify any demographic for petty reasons myself, since it will tell me nothing useful about any particular person within that demographic.  Generally, I'm not going to bother addressing statistics other than to disprove ridiculous claims.  The dog I do have in this fight is that people (of any type) deserve the dignity of basic personhood.  "Social justice" advocates are simply trying to use generalizations, even sometimes blatantly false ones, to shame people who haven't necessarily done anything wrong and belittle people based on things which do not necessarily apply to them.

So let's examine this idea with some intellectual rigor, shall we?

I'm going to grab the checklists from an article I've often seen referenced as basically the definitive resource for explaining what this concept means and we'll take a real, honest look at some of the claims made, to determine whether they are valid "privileges" which can be applied universally, or are just claims made when trying to shame and silence a person or persons from certain demographics.  I'm not going to bother with all of them, because, quite frankly, I'm just not that interested in wasting my time to that extent on debating things which somebody wrote to encourage the hatred of other people.  If a sampling isn't enough to be convincing - if there's something in particular that I skip over and you really think is more valid and absolute than the rest and I should address specifically, feel free to leave a comment asking me to do so.

"How am I going to determine if the claims made are just prejudice" you may ask?  Well, if you'll take a look over to the right side of this blog, you'll see a list of "reference pages" and on that list is a link to one called "What Is Prejudice?"  That's what I will reference when determining the value (or bigotry) of these claims.

http://www.feministezine.com/feminist/modern/WhitePrivilege-MalePrivilege.html

Since the White Privilege™ and Male Privilege™ lists aren't exactly the same, I'm going to combine some of the like items and expand the focus of others.  Some things are basically repeats and others could theoretically apply to both race and gender, but aren't present on both lists.


I can if I wish arrange to be in the company of people of my race (or gender) most of the time.
http://www.curves.com/about-curves/
http://www.blackpeoplemeet.com/

So, apparently, it would seem that if having spaces designated specifically for one's own demographic is in fact a White/Male Privilege™ it is not an exclusively "white" or "male" form of "privilege."  Seeing as the complaints are about a particular demographic, when it seems other demographics which have these same types of "privilege" are not subjected to these same types of complaints, that suggests even if it is true, UT1 and UT2 from the prejudice reference list are being used against "whites" and "males."

However, there is evidence,

http://www.whitepeoplemeet.com/
http://www2.macleans.ca/2012/05/16/reverse-sexism-at-simon-fraser/

to suggest this can actually be a difficulty for average whites and/or males, to achieve in reality.

Therefore, I'm going to have to say it's a possible UPJ2,4, UGJ4 and UAS1,2,3 as well.


I can be pretty sure of having my voice heard in a group in which I am the only member of my race. (or gender)
I can be casual about whether or not to listen to another person's voice in a group in which they are the only member of their race. (or gender)
I can go home from most meetings of organizations I belong to feeling somewhat tied in, rather than isolated, out-of-place, outnumbered, unheard, held at a distance or feared.
If I declare there is a racial (or gender) issue at hand, or there isn't a racial (or gender) issue at hand, my race (or gender) will lend me more credibility for either position than a person of color (or a woman) will have.
My culture gives me little fear about ignoring the perspectives and powers of people of other races. (or genders)
I can arrange my activities so that I will never have to experience feelings of rejection owing to my race. (or gender)
I will feel welcomed and "normal" in the usual walks of public life, institutional and social.
I can speak in public to a large group without putting my sex (or race) on trial.
Now, I hope I don't have to actually point it out for anybody to pick up the irony, but the fact that this very White/Male Privilege™ accusation is so often and so casually used as a method to shame a person and discount their position, perspective, or value, negates itself in the case of exactly every single one of those claims.

UPJ4 and UGJ4


If I'm a teen or adult, and if I can stay out of prison, my odds of being raped are so low as to be negligible.
If I am heterosexual, it's incredibly unlikely that I'll ever be beaten up by a spouse or lover.
Oh really?
I can ask for legal protection from violence that happens mostly to men without being seen as a selfish special interest, since that kind of violence is called "crime" and is a general social concern. (Violence that happens mostly to women is usually called "domestic violence" or "acquaintance rape," and is seen as a special interest issue.)

For this one, I'll just refer to the Is "Gendered" Crime Really Gendered? post.

Mostly to women?  UPJ4 and UGJ4
Special interest?  You betcha.


I am not taught to fear walking alone after dark in average public spaces.
http://bjs.ojp.usdoj.gov/content/pub/ascii/cv08.txt
Characteristics of victims of violent crimes measured by the NCVS in 2008 were similar to previous years. Males, blacks, and persons age 24 or younger experienced violent victimizations at higher or somewhat higher rates than females, whites, and persons age 25 or older.
Male victims knew the offenders in half of all aggravated and simple assaults against them. Female victims knew the offenders in approximately 70% of assaults against them.
Violent crimes measured by the NCVS include rape, sexual assault, robbery, aggravated assault, and simple assault.


http://bjs.ojp.usdoj.gov/content/pub/ascii/cv09.txt
Violence against males, blacks, and persons age 24 or younger occurred at higher or somewhat higher rates than the rates of violence against females, whites, and persons age 25 or older in 2009.
Females knew their offenders in almost 70% of violent crimes committed against them; males knew their offenders in 45% of violent crimes committed against them.
Violent crimes measured by the NCVS include rape, sexual assault, robbery, aggravated assault, and simple assault.


http://bjs.ojp.usdoj.gov/content/pub/ascii/cv10.txt
Males (15.7 per 1,000) and females (14.2 per 1,000) had similar rates of violent victimization during 2010
Females knew their offenders in 64% of violent victimizations committed against them, and males knew their offenders in 40% of violent victimizations against them.
The NCVS measures the violent crimes of rape, sexual assault, robbery, aggravated assault, and simple assault.


Is the real problem that the less commonly victimized race/gender is taught to be cautious, or that the more commonly victimized race/gender isn't?  If it's the former, all you need to do is tell whites, women and people 25 or older that they are on the less statistically likely side of an average 1.5% per year violent crime victimization rate.  Incidentally, if encouraging paranoia about violent crime is a "discrimination" against the demographic less likely to experience it, then it is likely blacks which have the "privilege" in this case. (or, UPJ4 and UGJ4)


Chances are my elected representatives are mostly people of my own sex.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-20231337
US election: Women are the new majority

UPJ4 and UGJ4 
I can be somewhat sure that if I ask to see "the person in charge," I will face a person of my own sex.
Actually, in case you haven't heard, women are the majority of managers these days and women under 30 make more money than their male peers.  If you don't believe me, ask Hanna Rosin. (the radical feminist)
http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2010/07/the-end-of-men/308135/

UPJ4 and UGJ4 
The more prestigious and powerful the elected position, the more likely this is to be true.
The higher-up in the organization the person is, the surer I can be.
These are also known as the "most CEOs are white men" claim and are intended to suggest that being the same race or gender as somebody in power automatically grants a person some form of, or access to that power, or that the power in question automatically serves that person's interests.  If you need an example of why such a thing is not necessarily the case, Google "Sarah Palin abortion" or "Marsha Blackburn equal pay" or "Jodie Laubenberg rape kit."

UPJ1,2,3 and UGJ1,2,3

Tell ya what... How about we address the "wage gap" as well while we're in the neighborhood?






My odds of being hired for a job, when competing against female (or colored) applicants, are probably skewed in my favor. The more prestigious the job, the larger the odds are skewed.
and 
I can be confident that my co-workers won't think I got my job because of my sex (or race) - even though that might be true.
Now, those are from the same list, in positions #1 and #2.  Is it just me, or do those actually seem to contradict each other?  I mean, in #1 the suggestion is "you probably got that job, just because you're male/white" (UPJ2,3 and UGJ3) and #2 is suggesting "people won't think you probably got that job, just because you're male/white." (UPJ4 and UGJ4)

And that's without even considering that there are programs which by design, provide incentives for employers to hire the non-white and/or non-male applicant if there are two people of different demographics competing for the same job.


As a child, I could choose from an almost infinite variety of children's media featuring positive, active, non-stereotyped heroes of my own sex.
http://comicsbeat.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/he-man.jpg
http://inadawords.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/wolverine.jpg
http://www.metropolisplus.com/superman/SupermanJLBColorWeb.jpg
http://media.dcentertainment.com/sites/default/files/AquamanSideburns.jpg

Almost infinite variety?
Non-stereotyped?
UPJ4 and UGJ4


Magazines, billboards, television, movies, pornography, and virtually all of media is filled with images of scantily-clad women intended to appeal to me sexually. Such images of men exist, but are much rarer.
Objectification of men is rare?  Let's just see about that...

Old Spice:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uLTIowBF0kE
("Hello ladies. Does your man look like me?")
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=owGykVbfgUE
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J8IW78vJecg
http://s0.2mdn.net/viewad/1260678/300x250_drugstore.jpg

Dolce&Gabbana:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zLrUJY4D5Bc
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S-xavhxWT6U
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xG_iKM5WYJM

Giorgio Armani
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hKvBniPPCcQ
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ep16cm9fL9Q

Davidoff Cool Water
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VQcax8yjvtM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zd0BAKedJog
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mXn2fQ-8rwk
(Top Comments: "I think i just came..." and "HOOOOOOOOOOOOOOT!!!!!!!!!!!!" - but I'm sure Paul Walker is really being appreciated for his mind, right?)

Levi's 501:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2RKp1P2S2qs
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaqcthqw5Tg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AdaKNHWi1SQ

Lee Jeans
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vgTBx2Sgmp4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p6n0-340ze8

Bod:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hAOSPZsN8fs ("Nice BOD")
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w8zQnSMPB34 ("Tight BOD")
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZspUyvG-ZA ("Hot BOD")
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iba14hfPVkg ("I want your BOD")

Netflix:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oebmm0CQlvk
("My, you are a little biscuit! Show - don't tell.")

Pom Wonderful:
http://www.metacafe.com/watch/5307404/pom_wonderful_warrior_tv_commercial/

I can't believe it's not butter:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xszIaNpYILY
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lg52V_bOIuY
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4fxTScyrQM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f_5pb3nx4y0
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HUHE7t-WrK4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QPbRTSA_y_A
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ksSU8eKDK5s

Max Tall:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lREErGZTW3U
("Poor Mike is 5'9" and Cindy isn't paying attention to him at all, but with Max Tall in his shoes Mike is nearly 6' tall and Cindy likes what she sees.")

Zoosk:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nzGvESR4erc

Micro Touch:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IP-tEmXhSUo
("...or remove it all and show off that hard body.  What a great way for women to keep the man in their life perfectly groomed.")

Nationwide Insurance:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fdyLiTvEFPo

State Farm Insurance:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_eo8Q60dLHc

Live Links:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5dI8mZIjQRg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c_enl4ox5CU

Twilight:
http://static.fjcdn.com/pictures/TWILIGHT_c868ce_289254.jpg

Magic Mike:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hHGJ7n_S0Wk
"Ohhhhhhhh myyyyy goshhhh ------------------- #Tatum #perfect"
"Yes please. EEK!"
"Hot damn... Woof"
"i would fuck them guyes brain out"
"woah baby i'd let channing tatum strip for me anytime and where"
"I saw this movie with my girls and gay guy friends and I must say we all needed a cold shower after this. Especially when the pony dance happened!"
(Those comments must all refer to the acting talent displayed, right?)

For Objectification's Sake:
http://www.buzzfeed.com/jennaguillaume/can-you-make-it-through-this-post-without-your-ovaries-explo

But this is a brand new thing, because the playing field is finally just now starting to level, right?  Men didn't used to be shown shirtless and dripping wet all the time to sell products...

Aqua Velva:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mUPkQot0uhg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2rsbl82XDrk
("It just feels better with an Aqua Velva man.")

Zest:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QcOqDJenTAw
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SVIdJDmf424
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H7LHVSoC57U

Coast:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BR2oSABais4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8QvAUggPotU
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i4E9CRrK4A0

Irish Spring:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v-Cy9YYnnC8
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbhOGDhhWNQ

and here's a couple even from the 1960s:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mXNqveciUIA
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LVCx5a7Ns8o

UPJ4 and UGJ4



If you actually managed to make it all the way here, I hope you're sick of reading by now, because I'm done writing for the moment.  I will, however, leave you with the very last list item: 
I have the privilege of being unaware of my (white) male privilege.
Which simply means, "disagreeing with me is all the proof I need."

The moral of this story?  White/Male Privilege™ (or any other malicious generalization of people) is simple prejudice at best and dishonest, harmful, even blatant hate speech at worst.  If you use such language in an attempt to shame and silence somebody, you are not fighting bigotry, you are perpetuating bigotry.

Looking forward to the hate mail...